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System in southern Gulf could become tropical storm, head for Texas coast

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The National Hurricane Center in Miami, in a 7 a.m. Monday update, reports more concentrated thunderstorm activity in Invest 91, a broad area of low pressure over the south-central Gulf of Mexico, which could affect parts of Texas and western Louisiana on Monday night and Tuesday.

The system has an 80 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm within 48 hours, the center said. If it becomes a storm, it would be named Bill.

Forecast models indicate that the system would stay on a northwest track moving toward the Texas coast and could bring heavy rain to western Louisiana.

On Monday, a hurricane hunter aircraft was investigating of the system, and will help to determine whether the low-level circulation has become any better defined since yesterday. Satellite observations overnight suggest that the low continues to produce tropical-storm-force winds well to the east and northeast of
the center. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development while this system moves northwestward across the western Gulf of Mexico.

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